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paperarXivTrust 82 · PrimaryPublished 9d agoLive · 6d ago

Enhancing LLMs in Predictive Political QA with Semi-Structured Data

Predictive political question answering (QA), such as predicting how a political actor will vote, goes beyond factual lookup. External political resources offer rich historical evidence, but rarely contain the answer itself. Existing LLM augmentation methods, including actor-profile-based simulation and knowledge graph evidence injection, improve political reasoning but largely treat external resources as knowledge-based evidence, leaving prediction-relevant signals under-modeled. We identify two complementary signals for predictive political QA: actor stances that capture issue-specific prefe

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