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Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models

In-context learning is commonly interpreted as a form of conditional inference, in which the prompt specifies a context and the model's output is treated as an estimate of the corresponding conditional distribution. If this interpretation holds, then LLM estimates should satisfy basic probabilistic identities. In particular, the law of total probability asserts that prior-weighted conditional distributions aggregate into population-level marginals over any valid partition of the population. In this work, we investigate to what extent LLM estimates adhere to this self-consistency principle. We

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  • FuzzySimilar title/name (fuzzy) · 59%NirDiamant/Prompt_Engineering

    Fuzzy title match (0.73): “Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency i” ≈ “NirDiamant/Prompt_Engineering”

  • FuzzySimilar title/name (fuzzy) · 59%linshenkx/prompt-optimizer

    Fuzzy title match (0.73): “Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency i” ≈ “linshenkx/prompt-optimizer”

  • LinkedLinked via arxiv author · 85%Patrik Wolf

    Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models

  • LinkedLinked via arxiv author · 85%Thomas Kleine Buening

    Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models

  • LinkedLinked via arxiv author · 85%Andreas Krause

    Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models

  • LinkedLinked via arxiv author · 85%Celestine Mendler-Dünner

    Partition, Prompt, Aggregate: Statistical Self-Consistency in Language Models

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